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The Applied Probability Society is a subdivision of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). The Society is concerned with the application of probability theory to systems that involve random phenomena, for example, manufacturing, communication network, computer network, service, and financial systems. The Society promotes the development and use of methods for the improvement of evaluation, control, and design of these systems. Such methods include (stochastic) dynamic programming, queueing theory, Markov decision process, discrete event dynamic systems, point processes, large deviations, reliability, and so on. Our members include practitioners, educators, and researchers with backgrounds in business, engineering, statistics, mathematics, economics, computer science, and other applied sciences.

The Applied Probability Society also publishes Stochastic Systems. This open-access journal seeks to publish high-quality papers that substantively contribute to the modeling, analysis, and control of stochastic systems. The contribution may lie in the formulation of new mathematical models, in the development of new mathematical methods, or in the innovative application of existing methods. A partial list of applications domains that are germane to this journal include: service operations; logistics, transportation, and communications networks (including the Internet); computer systems; finance and risk management; manufacturing operations and supply chains; and revenue management.

To keep up-to-date with all the latest developments in the Applied Probability Society community, INFORMS members should make sure to subscribe for real-time or digest correspondence through INFORMS Connect. For INFORMS members outside of the Society or for community members outside of INFORMS who would like to receive updates as well, register here to receive select Applied Probability Society communication directly.

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Jobs of Interest to APS

  • Nationwide, WHAT IS THE  SMALL BUSINESS SELF EMPLOYED (SBSE) DIVISION? A description of the business units can be found at:  https://www.jobs.irs.gov/about/who/business-divisions Vacancies will be filled in the following specialty areas: Small Business/Self Employed, Operations Support The following are the duties of this position at the full working level. Independently conducts, leads, or participates in studies of complex problems requiring considerable ingenuity to determine the methodological approach and identify the relevant factors for analysis. Responsible for defining the problems involved, formulating the overall concepts, evaluating findings, and recommending solutions. Selects and applies mathematics, economics, and/or statistics appropriate for solving operations research problems, such as the development of resource allocation models, data profiling, trend analysis, simulation, econometric projections, or classification models. Performs special studies of Service operations to identify mathematical applications to improve or enhance existing programs. Responsibilities in conducting these studies include determining the types of data to be collected, formulating study methodologies, recommending improvements to existing programs or processes, and analyzing data from a variety of sources. Conducts operations research using innovative analytical approaches and applies techniques in a creative manner to solve very difficult problems, enhance performance, or increase efficiency and effectiveness. Develops and applies research techniques for problem solving using data obtained from a variety of sources, both from within and outside the Service. Formulates methodological approaches in mathematical terms so they can be statistically tested to predict the probable impact on programs, processes, or resources. Requirements Conditions of Employment Telework Eligible Positions : Telework eligible positions do not guarantee telework. Employees must meet and sustain IRS telework eligibility requirements (e.g., reporting at least twice a pay period  to your assigned Post of Duty (POD) ) and supervisor's approval to participate in the IRS Telework Program. Employees must also be within a 200-mile radius of their official assigned post-of-duty (POD) while in a telework status.  As a reminder - If you are selected for a position, you are responsible for reporting to your designated POD (location) on the negotiated start date or as directed by management. Must be a U.S. Citizen or National and provide proof of U.S. Citizenship. (Birth certificate showing birth in the U.S;  Unexpired  U.S. Passport; Certificate of Citizenship or Naturalization; or Report of Birth Abroad of a U.S. Citizen (Form FS-240)) Undergo a review of prior performance/conduct and an income tax verification. Refer to "Get Your Tax Record" at  http://www.irs.gov/ ( https://www.irs.gov/individuals/get-transcript ) to check the status of your account, balance owed, payment history, make a payment, or review answers to tax questions. If you are not in compliance, you will be determined unsuitable for employment with IRS. Must successfully complete a background investigation, including a FBI criminal history record check (fingerprint check). Complete a  Declaration for Federal Employment  to determine your suitability for Federal employment, at the time requested by the agency. Go through a Personal Identity Verification (PIV) process that requires two forms of identification from the  Form I-9 . Federal law requires verification of the identity and employment eligibility of all new hires in the U.S. These  documents  must be  unexpired   original  or certified copies . The Fair Chance to Compete for Jobs Act prohibits the Department of Treasury and its bureaus from requesting an applicant's criminal history record  before  that individual receives a conditional offer of employment.  In accordance with  5 U.S. Code § 9202(c)  and  5 C.F.R § 920.201  certain positions are exempt from the provisions of the Fair Chance to Compete Act.  Applicants who believe they have been subjected to a violation of the Fair Chance to Compete for Jobs Act, may submit a written complaint to the Department of Treasury by email at, FairChanceAct@treasury.gov. To learn more, please visit our page at:  Treasury.gov/fairchanceact. Qualifications Federal experience is not required. The experience may have been gained in the public sector, private sector or  Volunteer Service.  One year of experience refers to full-time work; part-timework is considered on a prorated basis. To ensure full credit for your work experience, please indicate dates of employment by month/year, and indicate number of hours worked per week, on your resume. You must meet the following requirements by the time of referral: BASIC REQUIREMENT : Degree:  in operations research; or at least 24 semester hours in a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence in college-level mathematics or statistics. At least 3 of the 24 semester hours must have been in calculus. Evaluation of Education: The primary requirement of operations research work is competence in the rigorous methods of scientific inquiry and analysis rather than in the subject matter of the problem. Therefore, applicants should have sufficient knowledge of applied mathematics to understand and use the fundamental concepts and techniques of operations research methods of analysis. In addition, some positions may require knowledge of a specific subject area. Courses acceptable for qualifying for operations research positions may have been taken in departments other than Operations Research, e.g., Engineering (usually Industrial Engineering), Science, Economics, Mathematics, Statistics, or Management Science. The following are illustrative of acceptable courses: optimization; mathematical modeling; queueing theory; engineering; physics (except descriptive or survey courses); econometrics; psychometrics; biometrics; experimental psychology; physical chemistry; industrial process analysis; managerial economics; computer science; measurement for management; mathematical models in social phenomena; and courses that involved application of operations research techniques and methodologies to problems of management, marketing, systems design, and other specialized fields; or other comparable quantitative analysis courses for which college-level mathematics or statistics is a prerequisite. Courses in theory of probability and statistics are highly desirable but are not specified as minimum educational requirements because to do so would possibly exclude some applicants who would otherwise be well qualified. In addition to meeting the basic requirement above, to qualify for this position you must also meet the qualification requirements listed below: SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE GS-14: Applicants must have one (1) year of specialized experience at a level of difficulty and responsibility equivalent to the GS-13 level in the Federal Service. Qualified experience is experience that demonstrated accomplishment of operations research project assignments that required a wide range of knowledge of mathematical/statistical reasoning requirements and techniques pertinent to the position to be filled. This knowledge is generally demonstrated by assignments where the applicant conducted operations research using well-established and innovative methods for identifying the probable causes of cost/workload variances and procedures for resolving variances and selected and applied mathematics, economics, econometrics and/or statistics appropriate to solving operations research problems, such as the development of computerized mathematical resource allocation models (e.g. simulation), regression models, econometric projections or workload forecasting models. For more information on qualifications please refer to  OPM's Qualifications Standards . Education For positions with an education requirement, or if you are qualifying for this position by substituting education or training for experience, submit a copy of your transcripts or equivalent. An official transcript will be required if you are selected. A college or university degree generally must be from an accredited (or pre-accredited) college or university recognized by the U.S. Department of Education. For a list of schools which meet these criteria, please refer to  Department of Education Accreditation page . FOREIGN EDUCATION:  Education completed in foreign colleges or universities may be used to meet the requirements. You must show proof the education credentials have been deemed to be at least equivalent to that gained in conventional U.S. education program. It is your responsibility to provide such evidence when applying. Click  here  for Foreign Education Credentialing instructions. Additional information A 1-year probationary period is required. Have your salary sent to a financial institution of your choice by Direct Deposit/Electronic Funds Transfer. If you are a male applicant born after December 31, 1959, certify that you have registered with the  Selective Service System  or are exempt from having to do so. We may select from this announcement or any other source to fill one or more vacancies. Additional jobs may be filled. The salary range indicated in this announcement reflects the minimum locality pay up to maximum locality pay for all duty locations listed. The range will be adjusted for selected duty location. General Schedule locality pay tables may be found under  Salaries & Wages . This is a non-bargaining unit position. Tour of Duty: Monday-Friday, Day Shift, Start and stop times between 6:00 am and 6:00 pm Alternative work schedule, staggered work hours or telework may be available. In the event that a building is closed due to rent management, new hires may be placed in a local commuting location. Relocation expenses - no The employment of any candidate, including a current employee or a new hire, selected for this position will be conditional on obtaining and maintaining a High Risk Security Clearance. Obtain and use a Government-issued charge card for business-related travel. This announcement will establish an inventory of applicants. The inventory will be used to fill approximately 2 vacancies throughout the next 6 months. Contingent upon funding and space requirements, one or more vacancies may be filled at the locations listed in this announcement as they become available. Applicants need to apply by the cutoff date(s) to be considered: Cutoff date(s):  4/2/2024.  This announcement may be amended to include additional cut-off dates within the  6 -month  period if needed, not later than 5 days prior to the additional cut-off date(s). to be considered. Though many locations may be listed, you will be limited to a maximum of 3 location choices. Please consider each location carefully when applying. If you are selected for a position at one of your location selections, that location will become your official post of duty. This is an open continuous announcement which allows applicants to apply up to the closing date of the announcement, 07/26/2024 .  This announcement will establish an inventory of applicants. Contingent upon funding and space requirements, one or more vacancies may be filled at the locations listed in this announcement as they come available.
  • Nationwide, WHAT IS THE RESEARCH, APPLIED ANALYTICS, AND STATISTICS (RAAS) DIVISION? A description of the business units can be found at:  https://www.jobs.irs.gov/about/who/business-divisions Vacancies will be filled in the following specialty areas:  Research, Applied Analytics and Statistics The following are the duties of this position at the full working level of the GS-13: Independently conducts, leads, or participates in studies of complex problems requiring considerable ingenuity to determine the approach and identify the relevant factors for analysis. The incumbent is responsible for defining the problems involved, formulating the overall concepts, evaluating findings, and recommending solutions. Selects and applies mathematics, economics, econometrics, and/or statistics appropriate to solving research problems, such as the development of computerized mathematical resource allocation models (e.g., simulation), regression models, econometric projections, or workload forecasting models. Consults with supervisor, other research analysts, and subject-matter specialists to ensure that appropriate techniques and procedures are being used in conducting research studies. Conducts research using innovative analytical approaches and applying techniques in a creative manner to solve very difficult problems, enhance performance, or increase efficiency and effectiveness. Performs special studies of Service operations to identify mathematical applications to improve or enhance existing programs. Responsibilities in conducting these studies include determining the types of data to be collected, formulating study methodologies, recommending improvements to existing programs or processes, and analyzing data from a variety of sources This position has career progression. If you are selected at a grade level lower than the full working level, you may be non-competitively promoted as your career progresses. For example, you may be hired as a GS-05, but if the position has career progression to GS-11, then you may move from a GS-05 to a GS-11 in as little as three years. The following are the duties of this position at the full working level of the GS-14. Independently conducts, leads, or participates in studies of complex problems requiring considerable ingenuity to determine the methodological approach and identify the relevant factors for analysis. Responsible for defining the problems involved, formulating the overall concepts, evaluating findings, and recommending solutions. Selects and applies mathematics, economics, and/or statistics appropriate for solving operations research problems, such as the development of resource allocation models, data profiling, trend analysis, simulation, econometric projections, or classification models. Performs special studies of Service operations to identify mathematical applications to improve or enhance existing programs. Responsibilities in conducting these studies include determining the types of data to be collected, formulating study methodologies, recommending improvements to existing programs or processes, and analyzing data from a variety of sources. Conducts operations research using innovative analytical approaches and applies techniques in a creative manner to solve very difficult problems, enhance performance, or increase efficiency and effectiveness. Develops and applies research techniques for problem solving using data obtained from a variety of sources, both from within and outside the Service. Formulates methodological approaches in mathematical terms so they can be statistically tested to predict the probable impact on programs, processes, or resources. Requirements Conditions of Employment Telework Eligible Positions : Telework eligible positions do not guarantee telework. Employees must meet and sustain IRS telework eligibility requirements (e.g., reporting at least twice a pay period  to your assigned Post of Duty (POD) ) and supervisor's approval to participate in the IRS Telework Program. Employees must also be within a 200-mile radius of their official assigned post-of-duty (POD) while in a telework status.  As a reminder - If you are selected for a position, you are responsible for reporting to your designated POD (location) on the negotiated start date or as directed by management. Must be a U.S. Citizen or National and provide proof of U.S. Citizenship. (Birth certificate showing birth in the U.S;  Unexpired  U.S. Passport; Certificate of Citizenship or Naturalization; or Report of Birth Abroad of a U.S. Citizen (Form FS-240)) Undergo a review of prior performance/conduct and an income tax verification. Refer to "Get Your Tax Record" at  http://www.irs.gov/ ( https://www.irs.gov/individuals/get-transcript ) to check the status of your account, balance owed, payment history, make a payment, or review answers to tax questions. If you are not in compliance, you will be determined unsuitable for employment with IRS. Must successfully complete a background investigation, including a FBI criminal history record check (fingerprint check). Complete a  Declaration for Federal Employment  to determine your suitability for Federal employment, at the time requested by the agency. Go through a Personal Identity Verification (PIV) process that requires two forms of identification from the  Form I-9 . Federal law requires verification of the identity and employment eligibility of all new hires in the U.S. These  documents  must be  unexpired   original  or certified copies . The Fair Chance to Compete for Jobs Act prohibits the Department of Treasury and its bureaus from requesting an applicant's criminal history record  before  that individual receives a conditional offer of employment.  In accordance with  5 U.S. Code § 9202(c)  and  5 C.F.R § 920.201  certain positions are exempt from the provisions of the Fair Chance to Compete Act.  Applicants who believe they have been subjected to a violation of the Fair Chance to Compete for Jobs Act, may submit a written complaint to the Department of Treasury by email at, FairChanceAct@treasury.gov. To learn more, please visit our page at:  Treasury.gov/fairchanceact. Qualifications Federal experience is not required. The experience may have been gained in the public sector, private sector or  Volunteer Service.  One year of experience refers to full-time work; part-timework is considered on a prorated basis. To ensure full credit for your work experience, please indicate dates of employment by month/year, and indicate number of hours worked per week, on your resume. Qualifications will be determined based on the particular knowledge, skills, and/or abilities required for the position you are selected for. In addition to meeting the qualification requirements below, if qualifying based on specialized experience, you must also meet the specialized experience requirements of the specialty area you are selected for, as outlined in the assessment questionnaire. You must meet the following requirements by the closing date of this announcement  OR  time of referral: BASIC REQUIREMENTS (All Grades) Degree: in operations research; or at least 24 semester hours in a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence in college-level mathematics or statistics. At least 3 of the 24 semester hours must have been in calculus. Evaluation of Education: The primary requirement of operations research work is competence in the rigorous methods of scientific inquiry and analysis rather than in the subject matter of the problem. Therefore, applicants should have sufficient knowledge of applied mathematics to understand and use the fundamental concepts and techniques of operations research methods of analysis. In addition, some positions may require knowledge of a specific subject area. Courses acceptable for qualifying for operations research positions may have been taken in departments other than Operations Research, e.g., Engineering (usually Industrial Engineering), Science, Economics, Mathematics, Statistics, or Management Science. The following are illustrative of acceptable courses: optimization; mathematical modeling; queueing theory; engineering; physics (except descriptive or survey courses); econometrics; psychometrics; biometrics; experimental psychology; physical chemistry; industrial process analysis; managerial economics; computer science; measurement for management; mathematical models in social phenomena; and courses that involved application of operations research techniques and methodologies to problems of management, marketing, systems design, and other specialized fields; or other comparable quantitative analysis courses for which college-level mathematics or statistics is a prerequisite. Courses in theory of probability and statistics are highly desirable but are not specified as minimum educational requirements because to do so would possibly exclude some applicants who would otherwise be well qualified. SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE: GS-11:  At least one (1) year of specialized experience equivalent to the GS-9 level that demonstrated accomplishment of mathematical reasoning/statistical project assignments that required a range of knowledge of operations research requirements and techniques. For example, assignments would show a good understanding of operations research processes, procedures, and rules. accomplishments normally involve the following, or the equivalent: Experience utilizing knowledge of mathematical methods and scientific principles in order to accomplish studies, develop a variety of mathematical models and provide management with solutions or recommendations. Experience utilizing basic knowledge of multivariate techniques and knowledge of pertinent mathematical, simulation, economics, econometric and statistical operations research techniques. Researching and gathering data from a wide variety of sources and use it to analyze technical projects and program areas. OR Three (3) full years of progressively higher-level graduate education leading to a Ph. D. or equivalent doctoral degree in a field of study such as: operations research; or a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence as described in the basic requirements. OR A combination of graduate education and experience as described above. SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE GS-12:  In addition to meeting the basic requirements you must have at least one (1) year of specialized experience equivalent to the GS-11 level. Qualifying experience is experience that demonstrated accomplishment of operations research project assignments that required a wide range of knowledge of mathematical reasoning requirements and techniques pertinent to the position to be filled. This knowledge is generally demonstrated by assignments where the applicant analyzed a number of alternative approaches in the process of advising management concerning major aspects of mathematical methods and scientific principles utilized to accomplish complex studies to provide management with viable solutions or recommendations. OR Three (3) full years of progressively higher-level graduate education leading to a Ph. D. or equivalent doctoral degree in a field of study such as: operations research; or a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence as described in the basic requirements. OR A combination of graduate education and experience as described above. SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE GS-13:  In addition to meeting the basic requirements you must have at least one (1) year of specialized experience equivalent to GS-12 level. Qualifying experience is experience that demonstrated accomplishment of operations research project assignments that required a wide range of knowledge of mathematical reasoning requirements and techniques pertinent to the position to be filled. This knowledge is generally demonstrated by assignments where the applicant analyzed a number of alternative approaches in the process of advising management concerning major aspects of complex mathematical methods and scientific principles utilized to accomplish complex studies to measure program effectiveness and efficiency and to identify probable causes of cost/workload variance. OR Three (3) full years of progressively higher-level graduate education leading to a Ph. D. or equivalent doctoral degree in a field of study such as: operations research; or a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence as described in the basic requirements. OR A combination of graduate education and experience as described above. SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE GS-14:  In addition to meeting the basic requirements you must have at least one (1) year of specialized experience equivalent to GS-13 level. Qualifying experience is experience that demonstrated accomplishment of operations research project assignments that required a wide range of knowledge of mathematical/statistical reasoning requirements and techniques pertinent to the position to be filled. This knowledge is generally demonstrated by assignments where the applicant conducted operations research using well-established and innovative methods for identifying the probable causes of cost/workload variances and procedures for resolving variances and selected and applied mathematics, economics, econometrics and/or statistics appropriate to solving operations research problems, such as the development of computerized mathematical resource allocation models (e.g. simulation), regression models, econometric projections or workload forecasting models. Please see Education for  continuation: For more information on qualifications please refer to  OPM's Qualifications Standards . Education Continuation: OR Three (3) full years of progressively higher-level graduate education leading to a Ph. D. or equivalent doctoral degree in a field of study such as: operations research; or a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence as described in the basic requirements. OR A combination of graduate education and experience as described above. For positions with an education requirement, or if you are qualifying for this position by substituting education or training for experience, submit a copy of your transcripts or equivalent. An official transcript will be required if you are selected. A college or university degree generally must be from an accredited (or pre-accredited) college or university recognized by the U.S. Department of Education. For a list of schools which meet these criteria, please refer to  Department of Education Accreditation page . FOREIGN EDUCATION:  Education completed in foreign colleges or universities may be used to meet the requirements. You must show proof the education credentials have been deemed to be at least equivalent to that gained in conventional U.S. education program. It is your responsibility to provide such evidence when applying. Click  here  for Foreign Education Credentialing instructions. Additional information Have your salary sent to a financial institution of your choice by Direct Deposit/Electronic Funds Transfer. If you are a male applicant born after December 31, 1959, certify that you have registered with the  Selective Service System  or are exempt from having to do so. We may select from this announcement or any other source to fill one or more vacancies. Additional jobs may be filled. The salary range indicated in this announcement reflects the minimum locality pay up to maximum locality pay for all duty locations listed. The range will be adjusted for selected duty location. General Schedule locality pay tables may be found under  Salaries & Wages . This is a non-bargaining unit. Career Ladder grades GS-11, GS-12, and GS-13. GS-13 is the full working level. GS-14 is at the full working level. Tour of Duty: Day Shift Start and stop times between 6:00 a.m. and 6:00 p.m. Alternative work schedule, staggered work hours or telework may be available. A recruitment incentive has been authorized for eligible, highly qualified applicants.  The incentive will be $1,000 and will require a one-year service agreement. The service agreement details will be provided to new employees prior to entrance on duty. This monetary incentive will be disbursed as outlined in the service agreement. Relocation expenses - No Obtain and use a government-issued charge card for business-related travel. Have your salary sent to a financial institution of your choice by Direct Deposit/Electronic Funds Transfer. If you are a male applicant born after December 31, 1959, certify that you have registered with the  Selective Service System  or are exempt from having to do so. We may select from this announcement or any other source to fill one or more vacancies. Additional jobs may be filled. Though many locations may be listed, you will be limited to a maximum of 3 location choices. Please consider each location carefully when applying. If you are selected for a position at one of your location selections, that location will become your official post of duty. This is an open continuous announcement which allows applicants to apply up to the closing date of the announcement, 09/19/2024 .  This announcement will establish an inventory of applicants. Contingent upon funding and space requirements, one or more vacancies may be filled at the locations listed in this announcement as they come available.

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