Agenda: Decision Making for Emerging Risks

A virtual min-conference, June 22-23, 2021

This joint virtual mini-conference is sponsored by the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society and the Decision Analysis and Risk Group from the Society for Risk Analysis

Chairs: Kara Morgan and Zach Collier

By “emerging risks,” we mean risks that are not well understood, either because they are new or because they are changing.

By “decision making,” we mean that there is a need to act in the face of this uncertainty. That is, that some risk management activity much be undertaken. This topic could also include studies that help to prioritize data collection or knowledge gathering, such as value of information studies.

Agenda Day 1 (all times are Eastern Daylight Time)

09:30 – 09:45

Networking/greeting (5-minute mixer/breakout rooms)

09:45 – 10:00

Welcome from Robyn Wilson (President, SRA)
and Emanuele Borgonovo (President, INFORMS/DAS)
[Opening Remarks here]

10:00 – 10:45

Keynote: Ed Kaplan, COVID-19 Scratch Models to Support Local Decisions

10:45 – 12:05

Supporting Decision Makers regarding the risk of COVID-19
Moderator: Seth Guikema


10:45 – 11:00

Igor Linkov, USACE: Role of Decision Analyst at the Time of Crisis or Crisis of Decision Analysis: COVID Experience


11:00 – 11:15

Sasa Jovanovic, Making optimized decisions on emerging risks, relying on multiple and uncertain indicators


11:15 – 11:30

Ellen Peters, Numbers are just numbers-But you can make them matter for decisions


11:30 – 11:45

Seth Guikema, Tessa Swanson and Jim Bagian: COVID Risk Modeling to Support College Campus Reopening Decisions


11:45 – 12:05

Q&A/Reflections among panelists

12:05 – 12:40

Break/networking option in breakout rooms

12:45 – 14:00

Food Safety and Security
Moderator: Kara Morgan


12:45 – 13:00

Barb Kowalcyk: How to consider risks from Lab-cultured meat


13:00 – 13:15

Don Schaffner: How to decide if flour is a high risk food


13:15 – 13:30

Debra Palmer-Keenan: Lack of data on Food Insecure Practices leads to No Attention from Policy makers on Food Safety Issues


13:30 – 13:45

Scott Rodilitz: Online Policies for Efficient Volunteer Crowdsourcing


13:45 – 14:00

Q&A/reflections among panelists

14:00 – 14:20

Short closing/synthesis – Kara Morgan, Zach Collier and Elisabeth Gilmore

14:20 – 14:30

Thank you, Reminder of posters and tomorrow’s sessions – Kara/Zach

Evening event: Fully asynchronous posters shared virtually – with voting for best poster


Agenda Day 2 (All times Eastern Daylight Time)

09:30 – 09:45

Networking/discussion from Day 1 talks (15-minute random breakout rooms)

09:45 – 11:00

Transportation/Infrastructure Panel
Moderator: Vicki Bier


Robin Dillon-Merrill: Rail Traffic Controllers' Decision: Use the Autonomous System or Operate Manually

Gloria D’Anna, SAE G-32 Electric Vehicle Charging Cyber and Risk Concerns

Dan Eisenberg, Combating surprise for community and military installation resilience

11:00 – 12:30

Moderator: Zachary Collier


11:00 – 11:15

Jun Zhuang, Information Sharing in Cybersecurity


11:15 – 11:30

Shital Thekdi, Balancing artificial intelligence and risk: How the risk and decision-making fields can address the new technological frontiers


11:30 – 11:45

Kenneth Crowther, Multi-Barrier Approach to Product Cybersecurity in the Water Sector Under Emergent, Uncertain Adversarial Behaviors


11:45 – 12:00

Peter Beling, Cyber-Physical Security Through Resiliency: A Systems-centric Approach


12:00 – 12:15

Rich Gruss, Enhancing consumer decision-making with text analytic product safety information


12:15 – 12:30

Q&A/Reflection by panelists

12:30 – 12:45

Break/networking option in breakout rooms

12:45 – 14:00

Energy/climate change
Moderator: Paulina Jaramillo


12:45 – 13:00

Ketra Schmitt: Applications and challenges for predictive modeling of human mobility and conflict risks due to climate change


13:00 – 13:15

Michael Craig: Making power system investment decisions under a changing climate


13:15 – 13:30

Jim CorbettThe challenge of informing environmental policy during an energy revolution toward sustainable transportation


13:30 – 13:45

Nathalie Voisin, Concepts of flexibility in the water-energy nexus to address Climate Change


13:45 – 14:00

Q&A/Reflection by panelists

14:00 – 14:15

Close - Zach Collier and Kara Morgan