Agenda: Decision Making for Emerging Risks
A virtual min-conference, June 22-23, 2021
This joint virtual mini-conference is sponsored by the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society and the Decision Analysis and Risk Group from the Society for Risk Analysis
Chairs: Kara Morgan and Zach Collier
By “emerging risks,” we mean risks that are not well understood, either because they are new or because they are changing.
By “decision making,” we mean that there is a need to act in the face of this uncertainty. That is, that some risk management activity much be undertaken. This topic could also include studies that help to prioritize data collection or knowledge gathering, such as value of information studies.
Agenda Day 1 (all times are Eastern Daylight Time)
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09:30 – 09:45
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Networking/greeting (5-minute mixer/breakout rooms)
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09:45 – 10:00
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Welcome from Robyn Wilson (President, SRA)
and Emanuele Borgonovo (President, INFORMS/DAS)
[Opening Remarks here]
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10:00 – 10:45
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Keynote: Ed Kaplan, COVID-19 Scratch Models to Support Local Decisions
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10:45 – 12:05
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Supporting Decision Makers regarding the risk of COVID-19
Moderator: Seth Guikema
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10:45 – 11:00
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Igor Linkov, USACE: Role of Decision Analyst at the Time of Crisis or Crisis of Decision Analysis: COVID Experience
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11:00 – 11:15
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Sasa Jovanovic, Making optimized decisions on emerging risks, relying on multiple and uncertain indicators
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11:15 – 11:30
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Ellen Peters, Numbers are just numbers-But you can make them matter for decisions
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11:30 – 11:45
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Seth Guikema, Tessa Swanson and Jim Bagian: COVID Risk Modeling to Support College Campus Reopening Decisions
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11:45 – 12:05
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Q&A/Reflections among panelists
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12:05 – 12:40
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Break/networking option in breakout rooms
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12:45 – 14:00
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Food Safety and Security
Moderator: Kara Morgan
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12:45 – 13:00
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Barb Kowalcyk: How to consider risks from Lab-cultured meat
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13:00 – 13:15
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Don Schaffner: How to decide if flour is a high risk food
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13:15 – 13:30
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Debra Palmer-Keenan: Lack of data on Food Insecure Practices leads to No Attention from Policy makers on Food Safety Issues
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13:30 – 13:45
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Scott Rodilitz: Online Policies for Efficient Volunteer Crowdsourcing
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13:45 – 14:00
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Q&A/reflections among panelists
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14:00 – 14:20
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Short closing/synthesis – Kara Morgan, Zach Collier and Elisabeth Gilmore
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14:20 – 14:30
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Thank you, Reminder of posters and tomorrow’s sessions – Kara/Zach
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Evening event: Fully asynchronous posters shared virtually – with voting for best poster
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Agenda Day 2 (All times Eastern Daylight Time)
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09:30 – 09:45
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Networking/discussion from Day 1 talks (15-minute random breakout rooms)
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09:45 – 11:00
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Transportation/Infrastructure Panel
Moderator: Vicki Bier
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Panelists:
Robin Dillon-Merrill: Rail Traffic Controllers' Decision: Use the Autonomous System or Operate Manually
Gloria D’Anna, SAE G-32 Electric Vehicle Charging Cyber and Risk Concerns
Dan Eisenberg, Combating surprise for community and military installation resilience
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11:00 – 12:30
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Cybersecurity
Moderator: Zachary Collier
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11:00 – 11:15
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Jun Zhuang, Information Sharing in Cybersecurity
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11:15 – 11:30
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Shital Thekdi, Balancing artificial intelligence and risk: How the risk and decision-making fields can address the new technological frontiers
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11:30 – 11:45
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Kenneth Crowther, Multi-Barrier Approach to Product Cybersecurity in the Water Sector Under Emergent, Uncertain Adversarial Behaviors
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11:45 – 12:00
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Peter Beling, Cyber-Physical Security Through Resiliency: A Systems-centric Approach
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12:00 – 12:15
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Rich Gruss, Enhancing consumer decision-making with text analytic product safety information
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12:15 – 12:30
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Q&A/Reflection by panelists
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12:30 – 12:45
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Break/networking option in breakout rooms
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12:45 – 14:00
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Energy/climate change
Moderator: Paulina Jaramillo
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12:45 – 13:00
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Ketra Schmitt: Applications and challenges for predictive modeling of human mobility and conflict risks due to climate change
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13:00 – 13:15
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Michael Craig: Making power system investment decisions under a changing climate
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13:15 – 13:30
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Jim Corbett: The challenge of informing environmental policy during an energy revolution toward sustainable transportation
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13:30 – 13:45
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Nathalie Voisin, Concepts of flexibility in the water-energy nexus to address Climate Change
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13:45 – 14:00
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Q&A/Reflection by panelists
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14:00 – 14:15
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Close - Zach Collier and Kara Morgan
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