Newsletter 2019

Section on Finance Newsletter

Fall 2019

Message from Section Chair

Dear Colleagues, Students, and Friends,

The INFORMS Finance Section would like to send out its first newsletter ever.

Firstly, do not forget to register and attend the INFORMS Annual Meeting in Seattle on October 20-23, 2019. The Finance Section has organized a rich cluster consisting of 15 sessions, plus the Finance Student Paper Competition session. The sessions will cover both emerging and more traditional topics, including among others systemic risk, market microstructure, financial econometrics, energy risk, machine learning and Fintech. There are two innovations to the program this year. First, there will be an "Introduction to Financial Engineering" session, designed to expose undergraduate students to cutting edge topics, research, and job opportunities in the area of financial engineering. Second, the Finance cluster has partnered with the Applied Probabilities Society and together organized a combined mini track consisting of four sessions covering exciting topics at the intersection of financial engineering and applied probability. But, this is not all! This newsletter has another novelty. John Birge, the editor in chief of Operations Research and one of the most prominent figures in the field, has released an interview, which will certainly inspire young generations of researchers, outline research challenges at the intersection of operations research and financial engineering, and provide advice on strengthening the connection with other disciplines and the private sector.

I wish everyone a productive and engaging Fall term, and very much look forward to seeing everyone at the 2019 INFORMS Annual Meeting!

Agostino Capponi,
Associate Professor
Columbia University
Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research
338 S. W. Mudd Building
500 W. 120th Street
New York, New York 10027
http://www.columbia.edu/~ac3827/

Member Interview


John R. Birge is the Jerry W. and Carol Lee Levin Distinguished Service Professor of Operations
Management at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. He studies mathematical modeling
of systems under uncertainty, especially for maximizing operational and financial goals using the
methodologies of stochastic programming and large-scale optimization. In the energy sector, his
interest has focused on mechanisms for including uncertainty considerations into electric power unit
commitment and capacity investment decisions. He has published widely and is the recipient of the Best
Paper Award from the Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, the Institute for Operations
Research and the Management Sciences Fellows Award, the Institute of Industrial Engineers Medallion
Award and was elected to the National Academy of Engineering.
A former dean of the Robert R. McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Sciences at Northwestern
University, he has worked as a consultant for a variety of firms including the University of Michigan
Hospitals, Deutsche Bank, Allstate Insurance Company, and Morgan Stanley.
Birge earned a bachelor's degree in mathematics from Princeton University in 1977 and a master's
degree and a PhD in operations research from Stanford University in 1979 and 1980, respectively.



1. What advice would you give to students about to enter the field?

I would advise students to pick up as many skills as they can while they are still students.  They will certainly have to learn other new things later (and should be prepared for that), but it is easiest when you are still a student. As for specific topics, clearly the traditional OR skills in optimization and stochastic models are necessary, but increasingly these must also combined with skills in handling data (and writing code) for computation, and in statistics, data analysis, and machine learning.  For financial applications, it is also necessary to have a solid background in economic theory and of course financial economics.

Beyond getting these broad skills and then becoming extremely deep in a topic area for a dissertation or Master's concentration, I would advise students to stay flexible.  They may find that a different area offers more potential or opportunities to develop. They should be open to following that path, whether in a different industry position, research direction, or career choice.

2. How has your involvement with INFORMS impacted your career?

I have been fortunate to have gained from my involvement with INFORMS in multiple ways.  My first professional conference presentation was at a regional INFORMS (then ORSA) meeting that I became aware of shortly after I joined as a student member. For meetings since then, I've organized many tracks and sessions (including the plenary speakers at the next Annual Meeting in Seattle) that have helped me learn about the latest developments and to stay current with the latest interests. Among communities, I particularly valued my service as a regional chapter officer where I was able to connect with industry members that I might otherwise have not met. I've also gained insight into the range of the OR field through my service with sections (including the section on finance), societies, and fora (a group designation I launched as vice president of subdivisions).

Clearly, INFORMS publications have had an enormous impact on the visibility and recognition of my work and my research has also benefited from my service to publications as a reviewer, editorial board member, and now editor-in-chief of Operations Research.  Finally, having the opportunity to serve the profession as president of INFORMS gave me both professional recognition as well as much deeper appreciation of the accomplishments of the entire field.

3. What value do you think that the section on finance can provide to members?

The section provides members with a sense of community and a variety of ways in which members can expand their knowledge and appreciation of OR in finance as well as opportunities to present their work, receive constructive feedback, and gain professional recognition.  The talks in sessions at the annual meeting certainly provide these opportunities, but informal discussions that may follow a session can often be even more rewarding.  Participating in the best student paper competition also can provide valuable feedback even for papers not selected as finalists for presentation at the annual meeting.   Regular communication through the newsletter will also help build the sense of community and can help keep members current.

4. What research you have been involved with do you think has had the biggest impact or you are the proudest of?

My work on developing methods for solving dynamic stochastic optimization problems has no doubt had the greatest impact of the work I have done. I am particularly proud of the applications of the nested decomposition approach I developed at several financial institutions for asset-liability management.  In the energy sector, I am also particularly heartened by the impact these approaches have had in electric power and particularly hydro resource planning.  Beyond these methodology contributions, I am also especially pleased of the role that my research has played in raising appreciation of work at the interface of operations and finance.

5. What is the biggest change you have seen in the field of Finance over your career?

In the finance field overall, the importance and centrality of rigorous empirical analysis has probably been the greatest change that I have witnessed over the years.  While empirical work was always important, the availability of data and the capabilities of new methods and tools have certainly raised the bar in finance considerably.  Clearly, there will continue to be a role for new theory, pricing methods, or  portfolio and trading approaches, but the demands for empirical validation seem to continue to grow.   While this may not be a central skill for OR, I think OR researchers (and even more so practitioners) need to be aware that strong empirical demonstration may be necessary to ensure that their work gains the recognition it deserves.

6. How did you become involved in the field of Finance?

I became particularly interested in finance when I learned that people in the financial industry were implementing the methods that I had developed.  I felt compelled to learn about the models that they were building and discovered that I needed to deepen my knowledge of finance to appreciate the details that went into those models.  This then drove me to develop classes to teach others with mathematics and engineering backgrounds about the subject and eventually to launching a degree program in financial engineering when I was at Michigan.

7. What directions do you see the field moving into the future?

As I noted earlier, I see increasing uses of large (often unstructured) data sets and tools from artificial intelligence and machine learning across the field of finance and particularly at the interface of OR and finance.  I think this quantitative drive will come at the same time with greater appreciation of the role of human behavior (which may not always agree with standard economic models). I would envision considerable research opportunities into exploring relationships across markets driven by models of behavior and strategic interactions. 

8. What research questions most interest you right now?

A fundamental question that I have explored since pursuing my PhD (and which was the foundational question that inspired my thesis supervisor, George Dantzig) is whether we can devise an efficient computational method for solving dynamic optimization models under conditions of uncertainty.   From some theoretical computational viewpoints, we know this is impossible in all imaginable cases (unless perhaps P=NP), but can we devise something that seems to work quite well for the vast majority of cases (and better yet show this rigorously) is still an open question.  In terms of specific (but related) financial questions, I would like to define what fundamentals drive prices of assets and whether we can identify those most basic drivers. We may need to answer the first question to fully answer the second, but I hope to make some headway in both directions.

9. What do you think INFORMS Finance should feature that is currently missed?

I think it would be ideal if INFORMS Finance could have more connection with the traditional Finance community. I think this is a challenge since each community has its own conference and focus journals, but some initiatives to develop stronger ties would be of value. 

10. What should be the topics in Finance that the OR community should focus on in the next few years?

I think the general areas of data analysis and uses of machine learning as noted above should be important areas of focus.  I also think other Fintech topics such as blockchain applications could be of particular relevance for the OR community. The proliferation of ICO's, for example, represent a ripe area in which OR researchers can contribute.

11. How are the job prospects different between students with a master vs PhD?

The biggest difference clearly in terms of job prospects is that PhD students are also of value to academic institutions.  OR PhD students are fortunate (especially those with finance skills) that they can often fit in many departments in schools of mathematics, engineering, computer science, or business.  For industry positions, clearly the lines between Master's and PhD student opportunities start to blur.  Research departments in industry would still be dominated by PhD's but often also have opportunities for Master's students.  In other areas, Master's students would often have equal opportunities to PhD students.

Student Paper Abstracts

October 21, 2019, 4:30 PM - 6:00 PM  92 -Sheraton- Grand B

Title:  Inventory, Speculators and Initial Coin Offerings

 Authors: Rowena J. Gan, Gerry Tsoukalas, Serguei Netessine

 Abstract: Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) are an emerging form of fundraising for Blockchain-based startups. We propose a simple model of matching supply with demand with ICOs by companies involved in production of physical products. We examine how ICOs should be designed---including optimal token floating and pricing for both the utility tokens and the equity tokens (aka, security token offerings, STOs)---in the presence of product risk and demand uncertainty, make predictions on ICO failure, and discuss the implications on firm operational decisions and profits. We show that in the current unregulated environment, ICOs lead to risk-shifting incentives (moral hazard), and hence to underproduction, agency costs, and loss of firm value. These inefficiencies, however, fade as product margin increases and market conditions improve, and are less severe under equity (rather than utility) token issuance. Importantly, the advantage of equity tokens stems from their inherent ability to better align incentives, and hence continues to hold even in unregulated environments.



Title: Pitfalls of Bitcoin's Proof-of-Work: R&D Arms Race and Mining Centralization

Authors: Humoud Alsabah and Agostino Capponi

Abstract: Does Bitcoin's proof-of-work (PoW) protocol serve its intended purpose of enabling and supporting a decentralized payment system? We propose a two-stage game to answer this question. Firms first invest in research and development (R&D) to subsequently compete in a mining game. We demonstrate that PoW drives the mining industry towards centralization, against the core principles of cryptocurrencies. Firms fail to capture the surplus created from their research because more research translates into a more aggressive mining game. Promoting R&D spillovers not only reduces wasteful R&D duplication and increases firms' profits, but may also improves the security of the Bitcoin system.

Title: Non-Concave Portfolio Optimization without the Concavification Principle

Authors:  Shuaijie Qian

Abstract: The problems of non-concave utility maximization appear in many areas of finance and economics, such as in behavior economics, incentive schemes, aspiration utility, and goal-reaching problems. Existing literature solves these problems using the concavification principle. We provide a framework for solving non-concave utility maximization problems, where the concavification principle may not hold and the utility functions can be discontinuous. In particular, we find that adding bounded portfolio constraints, which makes the concavification principle invalid, can significantly affect economic insights in the existing literature. Theoretically, we give a new definition of viscosity solution and show that a monotone, stable, and consistent finite difference scheme converges to the solution of the utility maximization problem. This work is jointly with Min Dai, Steven Kou, and Xiangwei Wan.      

 

Annual Meeting Schedule Overview

All Section on Finance Sessions are in: 
85 -Sheraton- Cedar B

Session Session.Title Abstract.Title PrimaryAuthor Session.StartDateTime
SA73 Machine Learning and Rough Volatility Session Chair Sirignano 10/20/2019 8:00
SA73 Machine Learning and Rough Volatility Session Chair Chronopoulou 10/20/2019 8:00
SA73 Machine Learning and Rough Volatility A New Model for Stock-Price Trend Analysis and its Exploitation in Trading Primbs 10/20/2019 8:00
SA73 Machine Learning and Rough Volatility Personalized Robo-advising Capponi 10/20/2019 8:00
SA73 Machine Learning and Rough Volatility Optimal Sampling Schemes in Fractional Volatility Models Chronopoulou 10/20/2019 8:00
SA73 Machine Learning and Rough Volatility Global Convergence of Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for Non-Convex Stochastic Optimization Zhu 10/20/2019 8:00
SB73 Topics in Fintech Session Chair Capponi 10/20/2019 11:00
SB73 Topics in Fintech Pitfalls of Bitcoin's Proof-of-work: Research Arms Race and Mining Centralization  Alsabah 10/20/2019 11:00
SB73 Topics in Fintech Cross-sectional Learning Of Extremal Dependence Among Financial Assets  Yan 10/20/2019 11:00
SB73 Topics in Fintech Crowdsourcing On the Blockchain  Tsoukalas 10/20/2019 11:00
SB73 Topics in Fintech The Role Of Blockchains For Modern Supply Chains  Narayanaswami 10/20/2019 11:00
SC73 Risk Management for Performance-driven Energy Systems Session Chair Hedman 10/20/2019 13:30
SC73 Risk Management for Performance-driven Energy Systems Performance of Energy Systems Capponi 10/20/2019 13:30
SC73 Risk Management for Performance-driven Energy Systems Renewable Energy Sources and the Risks they Pose: A Financial Industry Perspective Sircar 10/20/2019 13:30
SC73 Risk Management for Performance-driven Energy Systems Enabling On-site Solar Transactions Through Novel Insurance Products  McAulay 10/20/2019 13:30
SC73 Risk Management for Performance-driven Energy Systems Using Stochastic Models For Day-ahead Electricity Markets  Birge 10/20/2019 13:30
SD73 Introduction to Financial Engineering Introduction to Financial Engineering Feinstein 10/20/2019 16:30
MA07 Financial Statistics and Applications Session Chair Pelger 10/21/2019 8:00
MA07 Financial Statistics and Applications Crowding and Liquidity Provision in Factor Investing DeMiguel 10/21/2019 8:00
MA07 Financial Statistics and Applications The Network of Firms Implied By the News Zheng 10/21/2019 8:00
MA07 Financial Statistics and Applications Large Dimensional Latent Factor Modeling with Missing Observations and Applications to Causal Inference Xiong 10/21/2019 8:00
MA07 Financial Statistics and Applications Deep Learning for Predicting Asset Returns Feng 10/21/2019 8:00
MB29a Quantitative Risk Management Session Chair Frei 10/21/2019 11:00
MB29a Quantitative Risk Management Session Chair Cadenillas 10/21/2019 11:00
MB29a Quantitative Risk Management From Hotelling To Nakamoto: The Economic Meaning Of Bitcoin Mining  Kou 10/21/2019 11:00
MB29a Quantitative Risk Management Forest Behind the Trees Pelger 10/21/2019 11:00
MB29a Quantitative Risk Management Optimal Nonnegative Production Cadenillas 10/21/2019 11:00
MB29a Quantitative Risk Management Digital Currencies: The Tradeoff Between Efficiency And Trust  Frei 10/21/2019 11:00
MC29a Information, Investment, and Risk Management Session Chair Chen 10/21/2019 13:30
MC29a Information, Investment, and Risk Management Dynamic Investment and Financing with Internal and External Liquidity Management Chen 10/21/2019 13:30
MC29a Information, Investment, and Risk Management Systemic Portfolio Diversification Capponi 10/21/2019 13:30
MC29a Information, Investment, and Risk Management Dynamic Information Regimes in Financial Markets Shen 10/21/2019 13:30
MC29a Information, Investment, and Risk Management Investment Valuations and Falling Cost of Information Tan 10/21/2019 13:30
MD59a Finance Student Paper Competition Section on Finance Student Paper Capponi 10/21/2019 16:30
TA89 Systemic Risk and Financial Contagion Session Chair Feinstein 10/22/2019 7:30
TA89 Systemic Risk and Financial Contagion Pricing in an Eisenberg-Noe Framework Under Comonotonic Endowments Feinstein 10/22/2019 7:30
TA89 Systemic Risk and Financial Contagion Price Mediated Contagion Through Capital Ratio Requirements  BANERJEE 10/22/2019 7:30
TA89 Systemic Risk and Financial Contagion Value and Size Effects Sarantsev 10/22/2019 7:30
TA89 Systemic Risk and Financial Contagion An Adaptive Learning Agent Approach to Interbank Market Liquidity Hoarding Risk  Yang 10/22/2019 7:30
TB89 Mean Field Games and Large Stochastic Systems' Session Chair Guo 10/22/2019 10:30
TB89 Mean Field Games and Large Stochastic Systems' Beyond Mean Field Limits: Large Sparse Networks Of Interacting Processes  Lacker 10/22/2019 10:30
TB89 Mean Field Games and Large Stochastic Systems' Hierarchical Preferential Attachment Models: Statistical Analysis And Applications  Tang 10/22/2019 10:30
TB89 Mean Field Games and Large Stochastic Systems' Portfolio Diversification and Model Uncertainty: a Robust Dynamic Mean-variance Approach  Wei 10/22/2019 10:30
TB89 Mean Field Games and Large Stochastic Systems' Mfgs For Partially Reversible Investment Cao 10/22/2019 10:30
TB93 Time-Inconsistent Decision Problems Session Chair Chen 10/22/2019 10:30
TB93 Time-Inconsistent Decision Problems Session Chair He 10/22/2019 10:30
TB93 Time-Inconsistent Decision Problems Failure of Smooth Pasting Principle and Nonexistence of Equilibrium Stopping Rules Under Time Inconsistency Wei 10/22/2019 10:30
TB93 Time-Inconsistent Decision Problems Forward Rank-dependent Performance Criteria: Time-consistent Investment Under Probability Distortion Strub 10/22/2019 10:30
TB93 Time-Inconsistent Decision Problems On The Strategies Of Naive And Sophisticated Agents With Weighted Average Risk Preferences In Continuous Time  Hu 10/22/2019 10:30
TB93 Time-Inconsistent Decision Problems Non-Concave Utility Maximization without the Concavification Principle Qian 10/22/2019 10:30
TB87 Financial Risk and Regulation Session Chair Amini 10/22/2019 10:30
TB87 Financial Risk and Regulation A Theory For Measures Of Tail Risk  Liu 10/22/2019 10:30
TB87 Financial Risk and Regulation Market-making Costs and Liquidity: Evidence From Cds Markets  Tompaidis 10/22/2019 10:30
TB87 Financial Risk and Regulation Capital Regulation and Dynamic Financial Contagion Feinstein 10/22/2019 10:30
TB87 Financial Risk and Regulation Cascading Losses in Reinsurance Networks Klages-Mundt 10/22/2019 10:30
TC89 Robust Methods in Finance Session Chair Tompaidis 10/22/2019 12:05
TC89 Robust Methods in Finance Session Chair Mitchell 10/22/2019 12:05
TC89 Robust Methods in Finance Systemic Risk and Central Clearing Counterparty Design Amini 10/22/2019 12:05
TC89 Robust Methods in Finance Optimal Scenario Generation For Stress Test Arora 10/22/2019 12:05
TC89 Robust Methods in Finance Robust Portfolio Variance Minimization With Bootstrapping and Factor Model Nguyen 10/22/2019 12:05
TD89 Quantitative Risk Management Session Chair Wang 10/22/2019 14:00
TD89 Quantitative Risk Management Optimal Insurance Design With a Variance Constraint On the Ceded Loss Zhuang 10/22/2019 14:00
TD89 Quantitative Risk Management Smart Order Routing Via Machine Learning Xu 10/22/2019 14:00
TD89 Quantitative Risk Management Robust Distortion Risk Measures  Pesenti 10/22/2019 14:00
TD89 Quantitative Risk Management An Axiomatic Foundation of Expected Shortfall Wang 10/22/2019 14:00
TE89 Quantitative Methods in Financial  Engineering Session Chair Cai 10/22/2019 16:35
TE89 Quantitative Methods in Financial  Engineering Session Chair Lingfei 10/22/2019 16:35
TE89 Quantitative Methods in Financial  Engineering Distributionally Robust Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection Zhou 10/22/2019 16:35
TE89 Quantitative Methods in Financial  Engineering On The Equilibrium Strategies For Time-inconsistent Problems In Continuous Time  Jiang 10/22/2019 16:35
TE89 Quantitative Methods in Financial  Engineering Partially Egalitarian Portfolio Selection Peng 10/22/2019 16:35
TE89 Quantitative Methods in Financial  Engineering Conditional Monte Carlo Methods Under Stochastic Volatility Models  Fusai 10/22/2019 16:35
WB21 Systemic Risk Session Chair Ludkovski 10/23/2019 11:00
WB21 Systemic Risk Session Chair Detering 10/23/2019 11:00
WB21 Systemic Risk Incorporating Confidence into Systemic Risk Bichuch 10/23/2019 11:00
WB21 Systemic Risk Numerical Methods in Mean-field Game For Large Banking System With Defaults  Ichiba 10/23/2019 11:00
WB21 Systemic Risk Suffocating Fire Sales Detering 10/23/2019 11:00
WB21 Systemic Risk Measuring Risks in Hedge Funds: Evaluation and Usefulness of Exposure Data in Form Pf  Tompaidis 10/23/2019 11:00

Business Meeting

Monday October 21, 2019  6:30 pm
Student Paper winners announced

Introductory Session for Undergraduate/Master Students in Financial Engineering

10/20/2019 4:30
85 -Sheraton- Cedar B


The goal of the Section on Finance is to encourage discussion on techniques and research topics that are emerging in the fields of financial engineering, including but not limited to FinTech, economic/financial networks, market microstructure.

 A major objective of the INFORMS Finance community is to incite interest in the field from students at the early stages of their professional education. We aim at exposing undergraduate students who are starting on their career and deciding which options to pursue (either an academic or industry career) to the exciting developments in the field.

 Professor Agostino Capponi from Columbia University will provide a high-level overview of the area and make himself available to answer students' questions and provide career advice. 

Section Officers

Agostino Capponi               Chair                                ac3827@columbia.edu
Wendy Swenson-Roth       Vice-Chair                       wroth@gsu.edu
Zachary Feinstein              Secretary/Treasurer         zfeinste@stevens.edu
Daniel Mitchell                    Board member                 damitche@umn.edu