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Planning for an agentic AI-driven business creates a modeling problem most frameworks were not designed for. Two things are simultaneously true: unit costs are falling (token prices down ~10x/year since 2021), but total AI spend keeps rising as workloads scale. A single forecast line cannot hold both. ...

As organizations deploy AI systems that operate continuously and with increasing autonomy, the economics of these systems are shifting from predictable, budget-based models to usage-driven and probabilistic ones. We recently examined how traditional financial planning approaches break down in such environments ...