Our friends at the Society of Decision Professionals are hosting a webinar by Tom Keelin (Keelin Reeds Partners) titled: Outsmarting the Wordle Bot
Link to Register
Abstract
Since its introduction in 2021, Wordle has become one of the most widely played word games of all time, now generating over 5 billion plays per year on the New York Times website. After each puzzle, players are invited to "consult the bot"-an AI Wordle analyst that evaluates your play, compares you with millions of other players, and reveals how it would have scored using what it claims is an "optimal" strategy for that day. Few people beat the bot-let alone consistently.
This webinar shows how applying the principles of Decision Quality (DQ) provides a powerful, practical framework for doing exactly that.
We demonstrate how classic DQ structuring, probabilistic reasoning, and value-of-information thinking enable measurably better Wordle decisions. Specifically, we show:
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how to compute expected information gain for alternative guesses,
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how to identify an optimal next guess given any state of information,
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a DQ-optimized opening guess that outperforms the bot's opening guess, and
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how a new method for choosing one's guess when only a few words remain beats the bot's apparent method
Finally, we present empirical evidence that applying DQ in this way allows us to beat the bot consistently.
We have long known that DQ produces better decisions and better outcomes on average, in business and in life, than intuition alone. Here we add a fun, data-rich, and immediately relatable demonstration-one that will help you improve your own Wordle skills and that may help persuade skeptics that DQ makes a difference more broadly: better decisions leading to better lives.
📅 Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2026
⏰ Time: 8:00–9:00 AM PT | 11:00 AM–12:00 PM ET
💻 Location: Online via Zoom
🛒 Pricing: Free for SDP Member || $40 for Non-Member
It is only Free to SDP members but if you are not a SDP member, you can get a a complimentary 3-Month Trial membership which gives you full access to this webinar at:
Link for complimentary SDP trial membership
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Robin Dillon-Merrill
Professor
Georgetown University
Washington DC
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