ADA Conference 2017

We are pleased to announce Advances in Decision Analysis 2017, a conference organized by the Decision Analysis Society. This conference—the second of its kind—will be held June 26-27, 2017 at McCombs School of Business at the University of Texas at Austin.  

The conference aims to develop and promote work fit for the Decision Analysis areas in Management Science and Operations Research and the Decision Analysis journal. The conference will provide a platform for interdisciplinary discussions, including researchers in statistics, economics, psychology, and other decision-making related disciplines with a prescriptive focus.

We are also pleased to announce that Professor Jim Dyer of the McCombs School of Business at The University of Texas at Austin will offer the opening plenary. A second plenary talk will be given by Bill Klimack of Chevron.

We hope you will join us at the Advances in Decision Analysis 2017 Conference to enjoy the research talks and take in the sights of Austin TX! 


 Conference Schedule

Monday, June 26 2017

8:00AM-9:00AM Registration and Light Continental Breakfast - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

9:00AM-10:30AM Session 1A: Homeland Security - Legacy Room

9:00AM-10:30AM Session 1B: Expert Judgment - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

Jun Zhuang: Crisis Communication And Rumor Management Using Social Media During Disasters

Erin Baker: Finding Common Ground When Experts Disagree: Robust Portfolio Decision Analysis

Richard John: Value Of Deterrence Analysis: A Decision Analytic Framework

Jack Soll: Explaining Overprecision In Judgment

Heather Rosoff: How framing, controllability, and aspiration influence decision making and communications about natural disaster early warning programs

Sunny Shi: Can A Successful Prediction Market Apply To All Products

10:30AM-11:00AM Coffee Break - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

11:00AM-12:30PM Session 2A: Decision Analysis/Normative - Legacy Room

11:00AM-12:30PM Session 2B: Expert aggregation - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

Emanuele Borgonovo: Model Uncertainty In Risk Analysis And Decision Theory A Preliminary Investigation

Asa Palley: Quantifying Uncertainty Using The Mean And Variance Of A Collection Of Point Estimates

Jeffrey Keisler: Using Big Data Sources With Decision Analysis: The Case Of Software Vulnerability Management

Martine Barons: Decision Support For Food Security Policy, From Expert Judgement Using Bayesian Networks.

Kevin McCardle: The Valuators Curse

Eva Regnier: Bayesian Insights In Model Building And Model Interpretation

12:30PM-1:30PM Lunch - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

1:30PM-3:00PM Session 3A: Ambiguity - Legacy Room

1:30PM-3:00PM Session 3B: Beliefs and Uncertainty - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

Han Bleichrodt: Robust Measurement Of Beliefs In Decision Under Ambiguity

Enrico Diecidue: Eliciting Attitude Towards Temporal Resolution Of Risk: Utility Versus Probability Weighting Approaches

Ying He: Revisiting Ellsberg And Machina's Paradoxes: A Two-stage Decision Making Model Under Ambiguity

Elisa Long: Was Angelina Jolie Right? Optimizing Cancer Prevention Strategies Among Brca Mutation Carriers

Onesun Yoo: Consumer Choice and Market Outcomes under Ambiguity in Product Quality

Aurelien Baillon: Signal Perception And Belief Updating

3:00PM-3:30PM Break

3:30PM-5:00PM Plenary - Professor Jim Dyer and Bill Klimack of Chevron (Welcome By Casey Lichtendahl) - Legacy Room

5:30PM-6:30PM Posters & Reception - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

 6:30PM-9:00PM Dinner on your own (recommendations will be provided)


Tuesday, June 27, 2017

8:30AM-9:00AM Light continental breakfast - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

9:00AM-11:00AM Research Incubator 1 - Legacy Room

9:00AM-11:00AM Research Incubator 2 - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

Yunke Mai: Technology Adoption In The Presence Of A Strategic Courterparty

Sasa Zorc: When And How To Outsource A Search Process

Youngsoo Kim: Stochastic Game Of Investment In Common Goods

Yuyu Fan: Optimizing Experts’ Forecasts By Coherence-weighted Direct And Indirect Judgments 

Jorge Gonzalez-Ortega: Adversarial Risk Analysis For Generic Agent Interactions

Kenneth Nguyen: Using Probability Words For Analytics? Comparing Verbal Versus Numeric Probabilistic Forecasts Of Future Events 

Jinshu Cui: Effects Of Psychological Distance And Cumulative Sequences On Near Miss Appraisals

David Soule: Forecast Ensembles With Spatial And Model Dependencies

11:00AM-11:30AM Coffee Break - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

11:30AM-1:00PM Session 4A: Portfolio Analysis - Legacy Room

11:30AM-1:00PM Session 4B: Research Incubator 3 - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

Janne Kettunen: To Better Manage Risks In Multi-period New Product Development - Select Riskier Projects

Jared Fisher: Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models For Strategic Asset Allocation 

Chin Hon Tan: Weighted Almost Stochastic Dominance And The Mean-variance Decision Rule

David Puelz: Sparse Portfolio Selection

Keith Gardner: Combinations Of Compounds For Pharma Oncology Development

Edward Cook: Game Theory For Multiobjective Multistakeholder Decisions 

1:00PM-2:00PM Lunch - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

2:00PM-3:30PM Session 5: Algorithmic Judgments - Legacy Room

Cade Massey: Experts: Can’t Live with Them, Can’t Just Replace ‘em with an Algorithm

Bo Cowgill: Automation And Decisonmaking: Theory And Evidence From Resume Screening

Yael Grushka-Cockayne: Bayesian Ensembles: Why And When To Extremize Binary-event Forecasts

3:30PM-4:00PM Break

4:00PM-5:30PM Session 6A: Sequential Modeling - Legacy Room

4:00PM-5:30PM Session 6B: Choice Under Uncertainty - CBA Events Room  (3.304)

H. Dharma Kwon: Exit Strategy Under Uncertainty And Incomplete Information

Manel Baucells: Frame Dependent Utility

James Smith: Heuristics And Performance Bounds For Dynamic Assortment Problems

Jay Simon: Multiattribute Procurement With Uncertain Buyer Preferences

Canan Ulu: An Interactive Bayesian Method For Multicriteria Sorting Problems

Cameron MacKenzie: Comparing Decisions With Intervals And Probability Distributions

Click here to download the Conference Schedule.


Organizing Committee 

General Chair: Casey Lichtendahl (University of Virginia).

Local Chair: John Butler (UT-Austin).

Steering Committee: Bob Winkler (Duke University), Detlof Von Winterfeldt (University of Southern California), Manel Baucells (University of Virginia), and Ali Abbas (University of Southern California).

Organizing Committee: General and Local Chairs, Eric Bickel (UT-Austin), Jason Merrick (VCU), Joe Hahn (UT-Austin), and Yael Grushka-Cockayne (University of Virginia).

For questions: please contact Casey Lichtendahl ( or John Butler (


On-line Registration

All attendees, including cluster and session chairs and speakers, must register and pay the registration fee. One-day registration fees and discounted registration fees are not available. Name badges are required for all INFORMS functions.

Refunds/cancellations: must be received in writing no later than June 12, 2017 for a refund less $50 processing fee.


Early Bird
on/before June 2nd

Late/ After June 2nd














Venue and Hotels

The conference will be held in the McCombs School of Business at 2110 Speedway, Austin, TX 78705. 

The two closest hotels are

AT&T Executive Education and Conference Center (0.5 miles)
1900 University Ave, Austin, TX 78705

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Hampton Inn & Suites (0.7 miles)
1701 Lavaca St, Austin, TX 78701

Image result for Hampton Inn & Suites (0.7 miles) 1701 Lavaca St, Austin, TX 78701


Two other fun hotels a little further away in So Co:

Hotel San Jose (3 miles)
1316 S Congress Ave, Austin, TX 7870

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South Congress Hotel (3.2 miles)
1603 S Congress Ave, Austin, TX 78704

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INFORMS Annual Meeting 2017

The Decision Analysis Society would like to invite you to chair a session or submit a talk related to the practice and/or theory of decision analysis at the INFORMS 2017 Annual Conference to be held October 22-25, 2017, in Houston, Texas.

Sessions are 90 minutes in length and may comprise three to five presentations linked by a common theme or may include short presentations followed by a panel discussion. Presentations do not need to be accompanied by a formal paper.

Session chairs are responsible for finding speakers, encouraging them to submit titles and abstracts in a timely fashion, and chairing the session during the conference. Session chairs may present in their own session, but this is not required.

We welcome any submissions that are relevant to decision analysis. Potential topics for sessions include, but are by no means limited to: probability elicitation and aggregation, forecasting, behavioral aspects of decision making, decision processes and organizational challenges, group decision making, risk analysis, preference elicitation, utility theory, game theory, social choice theory, graphical models, value of information, data and decisions, decision analysis education, as well as applications across domains such as health care, energy, environmental studies, military, policy, etc.

If you would like your talk to be considered for the 2017 Decision Analysis Practice Award please put "(Practice)" in the title of your talk. You may learn more about the DA Practice Award here. For questions, please contact Greg Hamm, chair of the 2017 DA Practice Award.
If you are interested in organizing a session or giving a presentation, please contact cluster co-chairs Andrea Cadenbach and Saurabh Bansal. We would like to have session chairs in place by mid-March and all speakers arranged by the end of April, in order to meet the INFORMS deadline of May 15th for final abstract submission.