The assumption here is that a wheel is a device helping a person to move from one place to another (no shopping carts for that matter), and a door is a device that helps one to enter or exit a building/room.
My rough estimate is as follows.
First of all, assuming that a spare tire is not a wheel, we can disregard all four-door sedans, because they have 4 wheels.
Second, let us take a look at larger vehicles such as 14-wheelers. I could not find the exact number existing in the world, but clearly, the total number of people on Earth is several orders of magnitude higher than the number of trucks, while the number of wheels in a truck exceeds the number of doors in a truck roughly by one order of magnitude. These trucks can also be disregarded as the number of wheels will not dominate significantly. The same goes for buses, for example, they in fact have fewer wheels than trucks.
Third, speaking of doors. About 2% of the world's population lives on the streets. This number is huge, but for the purposes of this post, 2% is a tiny bit less than 2 orders of magnitude less than the rest 98%. Therefore, the number of wheels used by homeless people is negligible (at most, they would use a bicycle – 2 wheels.)
The rest of the population (98%) lives indoors and uses doors. There are 2 billion bicycles in the world (we are already done with cars/trucks), making it roughly 0.28 bicycles per person (or 0.56 bicycle wheels per person). The number of housing units in the world is 1.16 billion. At a bare minimum, there is 1 entrance door, making in at least 0.17 doors per person. This estimate can be improved by using the information we know: there are 139 million houses in the USA. Based on Tampa-based Masonite estimation, the average number of doors is 19. By using this additional information, the overall estimate of doors per person immediately jumps up to 0.68 per person (higher than 0.56 bicycle wheels per person). We have not yet counted the number of extra doors (in addition to the entrance doors) in the EU and other developed regions, but what we have gotten so far is sufficient to conclude that the number of doors is higher.
Lastly, let us not forget that there are malls, skyscrapers, stores, hotels, etc. They all use doors and no wheels. So #TeamDoors.
P.S. After writing the above, I decided to look at Google's verdict. According to Hank Green, "the wheels on his children's toy cars were functional, but the doors weren't." He sided with #TeamWheels
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Mikhail Bragin
Assistant Research Professor
University of Connecticut
Storrs CT
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Original Message:
Sent: 03-18-2022 14:24
From: Jill Capello
Subject: Fun post! Wheels or Doors?
Just for fun on this Friday afternoon, I wanted to ask our members for their thoughts on the latest viral debate happening online – are there more wheels or doors in the world? There must be a mathematical approach to this question… So tell us, are you #TeamWheels or #TeamDoors, and why?
Everyone who responds to this thread by end of day Thursday, March 24th (ET) will be entered into a drawing to win a Starbucks gift card! If you have a photo on your profile, you get a bonus entry in the drawing. So make sure to post a photo if you haven't already!
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Jill Capello
Membership Associate
INFORMS
Catonsville MD
jcapello@informs.org
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