INFORMS Open Forum

On COVID19 testing, prevalence, and cases

  • 1.  On COVID19 testing, prevalence, and cases

    Posted 6 days ago
    Using data from the US CDC ( https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html and https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/testing-in-us.html ) I constructed a view of disease prevalence yesterday, and it was trending up from 8% on Mar-5 to 8.3% on Mar-16. Today I revised the analysis with updated data from the same sources, and see prevalence trending up from 10% on Mar-5 to 12.2% on Mar-17, a pretty dramatic change caused by revising the data-series.

    COVID19 Prevalence in the USA estimated from CDC data


    ------------------------------
    Rahul Saxena
    Bangalore
    ------------------------------